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8 of 11 matches with xG: 23 goals from 24.4 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II 2–4 Almeria | 2.53–1.47 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Won against the xG: Almeria |
| Eibar 1–1 Mallorca | 3.35–1.89 | 66% · 15% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Eibar had 66% |
| Sporting Gijon 2–1 Albacete | 0.55–0.60 | 27% · 43% · 30% | Close call, Sporting Gijon won |
| Las Palmas 0–3 Castellón | 0.23–2.70 | 2% · 9% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Castellón |
| AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Oviedo | 3.45–3.00 | 49% · 16% · 35% | Close call, Oviedo won |
| Granada CF 2–0 Cadiz | 0.96–0.41 | 48% · 36% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Granada CF |
| Girona 2–0 FC Andorra | 1.38–0.49 | 59% · 28% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife | 1.01–0.43 | 49% · 35% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.