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11 of 11 matches with xG: 32 goals from 35.9 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Sabadell | 1.71–0.91 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Won against the xG: Sabadell |
| Eldense 2–1 Cordoba | 2.85–1.35 | 68% · 16% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Eldense |
| Celta de Vigo II 4–1 Real Sociedad II | 2.44–2.10 | 47% · 19% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Celta de Vigo II |
| FC Andorra 1–0 Castellón | 3.12–0.95 | 80% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for FC Andorra |
| Almeria 3–0 Leganes | 1.34–0.87 | 48% · 28% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Almeria |
| Mallorca 3–1 Las Palmas | 0.77–0.60 | 36% · 39% · 26% | Close call, Mallorca won |
| Cadiz 0–1 Sporting Gijon | 0.55–0.80 | 23% · 39% · 38% | Close call, Sporting Gijon won |
| Valladolid 5–0 Albacete | 3.54–1.24 | 80% · 11% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Valladolid |
| Burgos 0–1 Granada CF | 1.46–2.53 | 21% · 18% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Granada CF |
| Oviedo 3–1 Eibar | 1.97–2.52 | 31% · 19% · 51% | Close call, Oviedo won |
| Tenerife 1–1 Girona | 0.75–1.56 | 18% · 25% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Girona had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.