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8 of 11 matches with xG: 25 goals from 19.1 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II 0–1 Mallorca | 0.66–0.78 | 28% · 38% · 35% | Close call, Mallorca won |
| FC Andorra 1–3 Sporting Gijon | 1.46–0.52 | 60% · 26% · 13% | Won against the xG: Sporting Gijon |
| Castellón 5–0 Tenerife | 2.35–1.35 | 60% · 19% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Castellón |
| Eldense 1–2 Eibar | 1.69–0.87 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Won against the xG: Eibar |
| Cadiz 1–2 Girona | 1.15–1.17 | 35% · 28% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Sabadell 3–1 Oviedo | 1.33–1.10 | 42% · 27% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Sabadell |
| Almeria 2–0 Celta de Vigo II | 2.40–0.65 | 76% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Almeria |
| Las Palmas 1–2 Burgos | 0.53–1.07 | 18% · 33% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Burgos |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.