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7 of 11 matches with xG: 17 goals from 18.9 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF 2–3 FC Andorra | 2.09–0.90 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Won against the xG: FC Andorra |
| Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Sabadell | 0.51–0.38 | 30% · 49% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Tenerife 1–1 Cadiz | 1.11–1.24 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Valladolid 3–1 Cordoba | 2.45–1.50 | 58% · 19% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Valladolid |
| Mallorca 0–1 Almeria | 2.81–2.25 | 51% · 18% · 32% | Close call, Almeria won |
| Burgos 1–0 Eldense | 0.80–0.53 | 39% · 39% · 22% | Close call, Burgos won |
| Oviedo 2–0 Sporting Gijon | 1.63–0.71 | 59% · 24% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Oviedo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.