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7 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 21.2 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| BG Pathum United 1–1 Ayutthaya FC | 1.27–0.27 | 63% · 29% · 8% | Draw against the xG: BG Pathum United had 63% |
| Buriram United 3–2 Rayong FC | 3.15–0.29 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Buriram United |
| Uthai Thani 4–2 Rasi Salai United | 2.06–1.92 | 42% · 21% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Uthai Thani |
| Lamphun Warrior 0–2 Bangkok United | 2.19–1.28 | 58% · 20% · 22% | Won against the xG: Bangkok United |
| Prachuap 2–1 Chiangrai United | 1.54–2.01 | 30% · 22% · 49% | Won against the xG: Prachuap |
| Sisaket United 2–1 Chonburi FC | 1.03–1.03 | 35% · 30% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Sisaket United |
| Port FC 3–2 Pattani | 1.20–2.01 | 22% · 21% · 56% | Won against the xG: Port FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.