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8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 21.0 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayutthaya FC 0–2 Lamphun Warrior | 0.89–1.92 | 17% · 22% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Lamphun Warrior |
| Sukhothai FC 5–1 Rasi Salai United | 1.81–0.25 | 76% · 19% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Sukhothai FC |
| Chonburi FC 1–2 Prachuap | 2.30–1.48 | 56% · 20% · 24% | Won against the xG: Prachuap |
| Rayong FC 1–1 Uthai Thani | 1.98–1.19 | 56% · 22% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Rayong FC had 56% |
| Bangkok United 0–2 Port FC | 0.99–1.10 | 32% · 30% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Port FC |
| Sisaket United 1–1 BG Pathum United | 1.10–0.90 | 40% · 31% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chiangrai United 1–2 Ratchaburi | 2.07–1.16 | 58% · 21% · 21% | Won against the xG: Ratchaburi |
| Pattani 0–1 Buriram United | 0.18–1.65 | 4% · 21% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Buriram United |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.