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8 of 8 matches with xG: 27 goals from 21.7 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Port FC 4–1 Rayong FC | 1.36–1.33 | 38% · 26% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Port FC |
| Buriram United 2–3 Sisaket United | 2.17–1.12 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Won against the xG: Sisaket United |
| BG Pathum United 2–0 Chiangrai United | 0.82–0.56 | 39% · 38% · 23% | Win in line with xG for BG Pathum United |
| Ratchaburi 1–2 Chonburi FC | 0.82–0.42 | 43% · 40% · 18% | Won against the xG: Chonburi FC |
| Prachuap 0–0 Bangkok United | 0.71–1.33 | 20% · 29% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Bangkok United had 52% |
| Rasi Salai United 1–4 Ayutthaya FC | 0.95–3.51 | 6% · 10% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Ayutthaya FC |
| Lamphun Warrior 3–1 Pattani | 2.25–1.12 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Lamphun Warrior |
| Uthai Thani 1–2 Sukhothai FC | 1.18–2.04 | 22% · 21% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Sukhothai FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.