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6 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 18.9 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sisaket United 2–5 Ratchaburi | 1.17–3.10 | 11% · 13% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Ratchaburi |
| Pattani 2–1 Rasi Salai United | 1.70–1.36 | 46% · 24% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Pattani |
| Bangkok United 2–0 Uthai Thani | 2.91–1.10 | 74% · 14% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Bangkok United |
| Sukhothai FC 0–3 Ayutthaya FC | 1.61–1.72 | 36% · 23% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Ayutthaya FC |
| Rayong FC 0–4 Lamphun Warrior | 1.68–0.92 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Won against the xG: Lamphun Warrior |
| Chonburi FC 1–0 BG Pathum United | 1.20–0.47 | 54% · 31% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Chonburi FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.