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10 of 10 matches with xG: 36 goals from 28.6 xG (1.26 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serik Spor 1–3 Keçiörengücü | 0.58–2.75 | 5% · 12% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Keçiörengücü |
| Ümraniyespor 3–4 Amed | 1.97–3.45 | 19% · 15% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Amed |
| Esenler Erokspor 4–1 Sakaryaspor | 1.79–1.00 | 56% · 23% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Esenler Erokspor |
| Boluspor 2–0 Erzurumspor FK | 0.91–0.42 | 46% · 38% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Boluspor |
| Iğdır FK 4–1 Adana Demirspor | 4.00–1.13 | 86% · 8% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Iğdır FK |
| Manisa F.K. 2–1 Vanspor FK | 2.43–0.83 | 73% · 16% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Manisa F.K. |
| İstanbulspor 2–1 Sivasspor | 1.21–0.80 | 46% · 30% · 24% | Win in line with xG for İstanbulspor |
| Bandırmaspor 2–0 Bodrum FK | 0.62–0.67 | 28% · 40% · 31% | Close call, Bandırmaspor won |
| Hatayspor 0–3 Sarıyer | 0.41–1.91 | 7% · 19% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Sarıyer |
| Çorum FK 2–0 Pendikspor | 1.28–0.39 | 59% · 29% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Çorum FK |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.