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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 29.4 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana Demirspor 1–6 Boluspor | 0.29–4.55 | 0% · 2% · 97% | Win in line with xG for Boluspor |
| Sarıyer 1–2 İstanbulspor | 0.79–2.30 | 11% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for İstanbulspor |
| Serik Spor 0–1 Manisa F.K. | 1.75–1.73 | 39% · 22% · 38% | Close call, Manisa F.K. won |
| Sivasspor 1–1 Çorum FK | 0.48–1.41 | 13% · 27% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Çorum FK had 60% |
| Amed 2–1 Bandırmaspor | 2.03–2.27 | 36% · 20% · 45% | Close call, Amed won |
| Erzurumspor FK 2–2 Bodrum FK | 1.69–1.01 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Erzurumspor FK had 53% |
| Keçiörengücü 1–1 Esenler Erokspor | 1.55–1.20 | 45% · 25% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vanspor FK 0–1 Ümraniyespor | 0.87–0.97 | 31% · 32% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Ümraniyespor |
| Pendikspor 1–1 Iğdır FK | 0.72–1.44 | 19% · 27% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Iğdır FK had 54% |
| Sakaryaspor 3–0 Hatayspor | 1.50–0.89 | 52% · 26% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Sakaryaspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.