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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 23.9 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Sarıyer | 0.60–1.06 | 21% · 33% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bandırmaspor 0–2 Erzurumspor FK | 0.51–0.97 | 19% · 35% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Erzurumspor FK |
| Iğdır FK 1–1 Sivasspor | 1.73–0.62 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Iğdır FK had 64% |
| Boluspor 1–2 Pendikspor | 1.43–0.90 | 49% · 27% · 24% | Won against the xG: Pendikspor |
| Manisa F.K. 2–2 Keçiörengücü | 1.06–2.08 | 19% · 21% · 61% | Draw against the xG: Keçiörengücü had 61% |
| Hatayspor 1–1 Serik Spor | 0.55–0.73 | 24% · 40% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Çorum FK 2–0 Sakaryaspor | 3.16–0.54 | 88% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Çorum FK |
| Ümraniyespor 5–0 Adana Demirspor | 3.36–0.01 | 96% · 4% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Ümraniyespor |
| İstanbulspor 1–3 Vanspor FK | 1.11–1.39 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Vanspor FK |
| Bodrum FK 0–0 Amed | 1.20–0.91 | 43% · 29% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.