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8 of 10 matches with xG: 15 goals from 23.7 xG (0.63 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor FK 0–1 Boluspor | 1.92–0.82 | 63% · 21% · 15% | Won against the xG: Boluspor |
| Amed 1–0 Çorum FK | 2.11–0.51 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Amed |
| Serik Spor 0–3 İstanbulspor | 0.62–2.17 | 9% · 18% · 73% | Win in line with xG for İstanbulspor |
| Adana Demirspor 0–5 Esenler Erokspor | 0.05–4.56 | 0% · 1% · 99% | Win in line with xG for Esenler Erokspor |
| Sakaryaspor 1–1 Bandırmaspor | 0.60–0.91 | 23% · 36% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sivasspor 0–2 Erzurumspor FK | 0.39–1.97 | 6% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Erzurumspor FK |
| Pendikspor 0–0 Bodrum FK | 2.35–1.85 | 50% · 20% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Manisa F.K. 1–0 Ümraniyespor | 0.73–2.12 | 12% · 19% · 70% | Won against the xG: Manisa F.K. |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.