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9 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 24.3 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bandırmaspor 4–1 Pendikspor | 1.01–1.43 | 27% · 27% · 47% | Won against the xG: Bandırmaspor |
| Hatayspor 2–2 Manisa F.K. | 1.27–1.38 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Esenler Erokspor 0–0 Vanspor FK | 1.70–0.13 | 78% · 20% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Esenler Erokspor had 78% |
| Erzurumspor FK 2–0 Amed | 0.86–0.37 | 46% · 39% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Erzurumspor FK |
| Boluspor 1–2 Sarıyer | 1.84–1.37 | 49% · 23% · 29% | Won against the xG: Sarıyer |
| Ümraniyespor 5–0 Serik Spor | 2.34–0.62 | 76% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Ümraniyespor |
| Iğdır FK 1–0 Sakaryaspor | 2.36–1.29 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Iğdır FK |
| İstanbulspor 2–2 Keçiörengücü | 2.05–1.70 | 46% · 21% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bodrum FK 1–2 Sivasspor | 1.22–1.34 | 34% · 27% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.