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7 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 17.5 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana Demirspor 0–3 Bandırmaspor | 0.26–2.24 | 3% · 14% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Bandırmaspor |
| Keçiörengücü 5–1 Boluspor | 2.55–1.83 | 54% · 19% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Keçiörengücü |
| Serik Spor 0–3 Esenler Erokspor | 0.08–3.39 | 0% · 4% · 96% | Win in line with xG for Esenler Erokspor |
| Vanspor FK 3–0 Iğdır FK | 0.50–0.03 | 38% · 60% · 2% | Close call, Vanspor FK won |
| Pendikspor 1–2 Erzurumspor FK | 1.13–0.93 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Close call, Erzurumspor FK won |
| Hatayspor 0–2 Ümraniyespor | 0.12–1.83 | 2% · 18% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Ümraniyespor |
| Sarıyer 1–2 Çorum FK | 0.29–2.34 | 3% · 13% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Çorum FK |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.