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7 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 19.5 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor 1–3 Bodrum FK | 0.71–3.58 | 4% · 8% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Bodrum FK |
| Vanspor FK 0–3 Erzurumspor FK | 0.83–2.67 | 9% · 14% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Erzurumspor FK |
| Keçiörengücü 2–2 Amed | 1.86–1.16 | 54% · 23% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Keçiörengücü had 54% |
| Adana Demirspor 0–5 Pendikspor | 0.59–3.41 | 3% · 8% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Pendikspor |
| Serik Spor 0–1 Sivasspor | 0.78–0.77 | 32% · 36% · 32% | Close call, Sivasspor won |
| Ümraniyespor 1–2 Bandırmaspor | 1.21–0.60 | 51% · 31% · 18% | Won against the xG: Bandırmaspor |
| Sakaryaspor 0–0 Sarıyer | 1.08–0.23 | 58% · 34% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Sakaryaspor had 58% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.