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5 of 10 matches with xG: 16 goals from 10.6 xG (1.51 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK 8–1 Manisa F.K. | 2.41–0.74 | 74% · 16% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Erzurumspor FK |
| Sivasspor 0–1 Keçiörengücü | 0.90–0.78 | 36% · 34% · 30% | Close call, Keçiörengücü won |
| Bandırmaspor 1–0 İstanbulspor | 0.84–0.26 | 48% · 41% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Bandırmaspor |
| Çorum FK 3–1 Hatayspor | 1.95–0.22 | 80% · 17% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Çorum FK |
| Amed 1–0 Serik Spor | 1.64–0.84 | 56% · 25% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Amed |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.