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7 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 21.1 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor 1–2 Sivasspor | 1.13–2.28 | 18% · 19% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
| İstanbulspor 0–4 Amed | 0.53–2.16 | 8% · 17% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Amed |
| Ümraniyespor 3–1 Erzurumspor FK | 1.28–0.61 | 53% · 29% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Ümraniyespor |
| Keçiörengücü 1–1 Sakaryaspor | 2.37–0.78 | 73% · 17% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Keçiörengücü had 73% |
| Iğdır FK 2–3 Bodrum FK | 1.72–2.62 | 25% · 18% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Bodrum FK |
| Boluspor 1–2 Çorum FK | 0.79–2.71 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Çorum FK |
| Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Bandırmaspor | 0.95–1.17 | 30% · 30% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.