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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.7 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana Demirspor 1–4 Serik Spor | 0.43–1.78 | 8% · 21% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Serik Spor |
| Pendikspor 1–1 İstanbulspor | 1.19–2.44 | 17% · 18% · 65% | Draw against the xG: İstanbulspor had 65% |
| Erzurumspor FK 3–0 Hatayspor | 3.36–1.16 | 79% · 12% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Erzurumspor FK |
| Sivasspor 1–0 Ümraniyespor | 1.42–0.54 | 59% · 27% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
| Sakaryaspor 2–1 Vanspor FK | 1.70–0.80 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Sakaryaspor |
| Sarıyer 3–1 Keçiörengücü | 1.03–0.51 | 48% · 34% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Sarıyer |
| Amed 2–0 Manisa F.K. | 2.01–0.13 | 83% · 15% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Amed |
| Bandırmaspor 0–0 Iğdır FK | 0.45–1.16 | 14% · 32% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Iğdır FK had 54% |
| Çorum FK 2–1 Esenler Erokspor | 1.91–1.30 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Çorum FK |
| Bodrum FK 2–0 Boluspor | 2.52–0.85 | 74% · 16% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Bodrum FK |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.