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9 of 10 matches with xG: 16 goals from 19.8 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boluspor 0–0 Bandırmaspor | 0.92–0.23 | 52% · 39% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Boluspor had 52% |
| Serik Spor 2–0 Sakaryaspor | 2.27–0.17 | 86% · 12% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Serik Spor |
| Keçiörengücü 7–0 Adana Demirspor | 5.36–0.36 | 98% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Keçiörengücü |
| Manisa F.K. 0–1 Sivasspor | 0.72–1.74 | 15% · 23% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
| Ümraniyespor 0–0 Pendikspor | 0.85–0.28 | 48% · 40% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vanspor FK 0–0 Sarıyer | 0.81–1.11 | 26% · 31% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hatayspor 0–3 Amed | 0.25–1.05 | 9% · 35% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Amed |
| İstanbulspor 0–1 Bodrum FK | 1.39–0.81 | 51% · 28% · 22% | Won against the xG: Bodrum FK |
| Esenler Erokspor 0–2 Erzurumspor FK | 0.85–0.65 | 38% · 36% · 26% | Close call, Erzurumspor FK won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.