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1 of 10 matches with xG: 2 goals from 2.5 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor 1–1 Sakaryaspor | 0.95–1.57 | 23% · 25% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Sakaryaspor had 52% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.