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7 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 23.9 xG (0.71 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amed 1–1 Bodrum FK | 1.72–0.88 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Amed had 57% |
| Erzurumspor FK 1–1 Bandırmaspor | 2.81–0.20 | 90% · 8% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Erzurumspor FK had 90% |
| Keçiörengücü 2–1 Manisa F.K. | 4.36–0.31 | 97% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Keçiörengücü |
| Pendikspor 2–0 Boluspor | 4.02–0.65 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Pendikspor |
| Sakaryaspor 0–4 Çorum FK | 0.58–3.09 | 4% · 10% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Çorum FK |
| Sarıyer 1–0 Esenler Erokspor | 2.60–0.26 | 87% · 10% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Sarıyer |
| Sivasspor 2–1 Iğdır FK | 1.22–1.23 | 36% · 27% · 37% | Close call, Sivasspor won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.