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2 of 10 matches with xG: 5 goals from 4.8 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 0.73–1.10 | 24% · 32% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kayserispor 1–2 Bursaspor | 1.75–1.24 | 49% · 23% · 27% | Won against the xG: Bursaspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.