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8 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 23.9 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bandırmaspor 0–1 Antalyaspor | 0.73–1.45 | 19% · 27% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Ümraniyespor 0–1 Muğlaspor | 1.62–1.11 | 49% · 25% · 26% | Won against the xG: Muğlaspor |
| Boluspor 0–2 Keçiörengücü | 0.45–1.70 | 9% · 22% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Keçiörengücü |
| Sarıyer 2–0 Pendikspor | 0.64–1.33 | 18% · 29% · 53% | Won against the xG: Sarıyer |
| Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Kayserispor | 1.82–0.99 | 57% · 23% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Fatih Karagümrük had 57% |
| Iğdır FK 4–2 Manisa F.K. | 2.86–3.08 | 38% · 17% · 45% | Close call, Iğdır FK won |
| Bodrum FK 0–0 Esenler Erokspor | 0.50–2.56 | 5% · 13% · 82% | Draw against the xG: Esenler Erokspor had 82% |
| Bursaspor 4–0 İstanbulspor | 2.97–0.05 | 94% · 6% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Bursaspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.