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3 of 10 matches with xG: 8 goals from 7.0 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor FK 0–2 Bandırmaspor | 0.25–1.79 | 5% · 20% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Bandırmaspor |
| Boluspor 0–1 Antalyaspor | 0.57–1.12 | 19% · 32% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Kayserispor 3–2 Manisa F.K. | 1.30–1.95 | 25% · 22% · 53% | Won against the xG: Kayserispor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.