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7 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 20.6 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bandırmaspor 1–1 Sivasspor | 1.92–0.29 | 77% · 18% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Bandırmaspor had 77% |
| Batman Petrolspor 4–2 İstanbulspor | 1.98–2.56 | 30% · 19% · 51% | Close call, Batman Petrolspor won |
| Antalyaspor 0–4 Kayserispor | 1.15–3.07 | 11% · 13% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Kayserispor |
| Keçiörengücü 0–0 Iğdır FK | 1.15–1.52 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mardin 1969 1–0 Fatih Karagümrük | 0.75–1.14 | 24% · 31% · 45% | Won against the xG: Mardin 1969 |
| Manisa F.K. 1–1 Esenler Erokspor | 0.63–1.92 | 11% · 21% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Esenler Erokspor had 68% |
| Muğlaspor 0–3 Bursaspor | 0.74–1.80 | 15% · 22% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Bursaspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.