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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 29.6 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor 1–1 Sarıyer | 1.69–1.78 | 37% · 22% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bodrum FK 2–1 Bandırmaspor | 0.76–0.72 | 33% · 37% · 30% | Close call, Bodrum FK won |
| Iğdır FK 1–0 Boluspor | 1.19–0.63 | 50% · 31% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Iğdır FK |
| Kayserispor 2–2 Batman Petrolspor | 2.98–1.34 | 71% · 15% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Kayserispor had 71% |
| Vanspor FK 0–2 Ümraniyespor | 0.99–0.51 | 46% · 35% · 19% | Won against the xG: Ümraniyespor |
| İstanbulspor 0–2 Antalyaspor | 0.80–2.31 | 11% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Fatih Karagümrük 1–2 Keçiörengücü | 2.11–1.70 | 48% · 21% · 32% | Close call, Keçiörengücü won |
| Manisa F.K. 3–4 Muğlaspor | 2.72–2.37 | 47% · 18% · 35% | Close call, Muğlaspor won |
| Bursaspor 2–0 Pendikspor | 1.26–0.37 | 59% · 30% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Bursaspor |
| Esenler Erokspor 4–2 Mardin 1969 | 2.44–0.95 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Esenler Erokspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.