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10 of 10 matches with xG: 38 goals from 34.8 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boluspor 0–3 Vanspor FK | 0.44–1.75 | 9% · 22% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Vanspor FK |
| Bandırmaspor 1–2 Iğdır FK | 1.47–2.00 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Iğdır FK |
| Ümraniyespor 4–0 Sivasspor | 1.82–0.30 | 75% · 20% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Ümraniyespor |
| Muğlaspor 5–0 İstanbulspor | 2.13–1.06 | 62% · 20% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Muğlaspor |
| Sarıyer 0–2 Fatih Karagümrük | 0.96–2.29 | 14% · 18% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Fatih Karagümrük |
| Batman Petrolspor 3–2 Esenler Erokspor | 2.36–1.63 | 54% · 20% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Batman Petrolspor |
| Pendikspor 2–2 Kayserispor | 2.21–4.33 | 15% · 12% · 74% | Draw against the xG: Kayserispor had 74% |
| Antalyaspor 1–2 Bodrum FK | 2.35–0.89 | 70% · 18% · 13% | Won against the xG: Bodrum FK |
| Keçiörengücü 2–4 Bursaspor | 1.19–1.84 | 25% · 23% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Bursaspor |
| Mardin 1969 2–1 Manisa F.K. | 1.58–2.24 | 27% · 20% · 53% | Won against the xG: Mardin 1969 |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.