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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 28.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esenler Erokspor 3–2 Keçiörengücü | 3.36–1.65 | 70% · 14% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Esenler Erokspor |
| Vanspor FK 1–0 Sarıyer | 0.65–0.61 | 31% · 41% · 28% | Close call, Vanspor FK won |
| Bursaspor 3–0 Bandırmaspor | 1.15–0.47 | 53% · 32% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Bursaspor |
| Fatih Karagümrük 0–1 Pendikspor | 1.47–1.05 | 47% · 26% · 27% | Won against the xG: Pendikspor |
| Manisa F.K. 2–1 Batman Petrolspor | 2.67–1.76 | 57% · 18% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Manisa F.K. |
| Sivasspor 1–2 Boluspor | 1.37–0.84 | 49% · 28% · 23% | Won against the xG: Boluspor |
| Iğdır FK 1–1 Antalyaspor | 0.88–0.56 | 41% · 37% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| İstanbulspor 1–2 Mardin 1969 | 1.34–2.43 | 20% · 19% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Mardin 1969 |
| Bodrum FK 1–1 Ümraniyespor | 1.69–1.02 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Bodrum FK had 53% |
| Kayserispor 6–0 Muğlaspor | 3.09–0.86 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Kayserispor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.