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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 28.3 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray 2–1 Kasımpaşa | 1.77–0.77 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| İstanbulspor 2–4 Pendikspor | 1.90–3.47 | 18% · 14% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Pendikspor |
| Samsunspor 2–1 Hatayspor | 2.04–1.34 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Fenerbahçe 2–3 Trabzonspor | 2.57–0.55 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Won against the xG: Trabzonspor |
| Sivasspor 1–1 Adana Demirspor | 2.27–0.67 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Sivasspor had 74% |
| Başakşehir 3–3 Ankaragücü | 1.02–0.48 | 48% · 35% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Konyaspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.46–1.09 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Antalyaspor 3–2 Beşiktaş | 0.40–1.56 | 9% · 24% · 66% | Won against the xG: Antalyaspor |
| Kayserispor 1–0 Alanyaspor | 1.11–1.22 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Close call, Kayserispor won |
| Gaziantep FK 2–0 Rizespor | 1.77–0.86 | 59% · 23% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.