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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 22.9 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor 2–1 Konyaspor | 0.95–1.72 | 21% · 24% · 55% | Won against the xG: Trabzonspor |
| Ankaragücü 0–4 Antalyaspor | 0.66–1.68 | 14% · 24% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Kasımpaşa 3–4 Kayserispor | 2.09–1.16 | 59% · 21% · 21% | Won against the xG: Kayserispor |
| Alanyaspor 0–3 Gaziantep FK | 0.61–2.36 | 8% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
| Fatih Karagümrük 3–0 Sivasspor | 1.73–0.86 | 58% · 24% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Fatih Karagümrük |
| Hatayspor 2–1 Galatasaray | 1.14–1.34 | 32% · 27% · 41% | Close call, Hatayspor won |
| Pendikspor 1–0 Samsunspor | 0.93–1.35 | 26% · 28% · 46% | Won against the xG: Pendikspor |
| Beşiktaş 1–0 Başakşehir | 1.76–0.57 | 66% · 22% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Rizespor 1–0 İstanbulspor | 0.40–0.40 | 24% · 52% · 24% | Close call, Rizespor won |
| Adana Demirspor 0–0 Fenerbahçe | 0.17–0.97 | 6% · 37% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Fenerbahçe had 56% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.