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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 29.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor 2–1 Hatayspor | 2.73–2.19 | 50% · 18% · 32% | Win in line with xG for İstanbulspor |
| Gaziantep FK 0–1 Ankaragücü | 0.29–0.56 | 16% · 50% · 35% | Close call, Ankaragücü won |
| Konyaspor 2–0 Kasımpaşa | 1.66–1.07 | 51% · 24% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Galatasaray 4–0 Alanyaspor | 3.81–0.22 | 96% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Kayserispor 1–1 Adana Demirspor | 0.99–0.69 | 42% · 34% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Samsunspor 1–2 Beşiktaş | 0.80–2.46 | 10% · 16% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Antalyaspor 0–0 Rizespor | 2.04–0.93 | 63% · 21% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Antalyaspor had 63% |
| Fenerbahçe 2–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.94–0.56 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Başakşehir 4–1 Pendikspor | 2.84–0.99 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Sivasspor 3–3 Trabzonspor | 1.41–1.33 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.