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10 of 10 matches with xG: 39 goals from 27.2 xG (1.43 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor 3–3 Antalyaspor | 1.80–1.46 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fatih Karagümrük 3–0 İstanbulspor | 1.68–0.25 | 74% · 21% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Fatih Karagümrük |
| Alanyaspor 2–2 Konyaspor | 2.20–1.28 | 58% · 20% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Alanyaspor had 58% |
| Rizespor 3–2 Başakşehir | 2.55–1.30 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Pendikspor 0–2 Galatasaray | 0.46–1.51 | 11% · 25% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Adana Demirspor 2–3 Samsunspor | 1.11–2.53 | 15% · 17% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Kasımpaşa 4–2 Gaziantep FK | 1.84–2.86 | 24% · 17% · 59% | Won against the xG: Kasımpaşa |
| Trabzonspor 0–1 Kayserispor | 0.87–0.48 | 43% · 38% · 19% | Won against the xG: Kayserispor |
| Ankaragücü 1–1 Beşiktaş | 0.52–0.39 | 30% · 49% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fenerbahçe 4–1 Sivasspor | 1.27–0.83 | 47% · 29% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.