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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 31.4 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray 3–1 Adana Demirspor | 3.39–1.16 | 79% · 12% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Antalyaspor 2–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 0.14–0.91 | 6% · 40% · 55% | Won against the xG: Antalyaspor |
| Samsunspor 4–2 Kasımpaşa | 2.35–1.27 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Beşiktaş 1–3 Fenerbahçe | 1.19–3.94 | 7% · 9% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| İstanbulspor 0–1 Alanyaspor | 0.53–2.86 | 4% · 11% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Kayserispor 2–0 Pendikspor | 1.88–1.40 | 49% · 22% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Kayserispor |
| Başakşehir 1–0 Hatayspor | 1.00–2.75 | 11% · 15% · 74% | Won against the xG: Başakşehir |
| Gaziantep FK 1–3 Trabzonspor | 0.48–2.50 | 5% · 13% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Ankaragücü 1–1 Rizespor | 0.67–1.33 | 19% · 29% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Rizespor had 53% |
| Konyaspor 0–1 Sivasspor | 0.86–0.75 | 36% · 35% · 29% | Close call, Sivasspor won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.