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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 27.7 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pendikspor 0–1 Antalyaspor | 1.27–1.37 | 35% · 26% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Alanyaspor 1–1 Ankaragücü | 0.65–0.34 | 37% · 46% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kasımpaşa 0–3 Başakşehir | 0.66–2.05 | 11% · 19% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Rizespor 0–4 Beşiktaş | 1.58–1.71 | 36% · 23% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Hatayspor 0–0 Gaziantep FK | 0.51–0.16 | 35% · 55% · 9% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fatih Karagümrük 4–1 Kayserispor | 1.32–1.70 | 30% · 24% · 46% | Won against the xG: Fatih Karagümrük |
| Adana Demirspor 2–2 İstanbulspor | 1.36–1.06 | 44% · 27% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fenerbahçe 7–1 Konyaspor | 5.05–0.08 | 99% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Sivasspor 1–1 Galatasaray | 1.62–1.72 | 36% · 23% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Trabzonspor 2–1 Samsunspor | 1.23–2.28 | 20% · 19% · 61% | Won against the xG: Trabzonspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.