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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.4 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK 2–2 Pendikspor | 0.57–2.02 | 9% · 19% · 72% | Draw against the xG: Pendikspor had 72% |
| Antalyaspor 0–0 Alanyaspor | 0.96–1.30 | 28% · 28% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Beşiktaş 1–3 Kasımpaşa | 0.74–1.21 | 23% · 30% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Rizespor 2–0 Hatayspor | 0.85–0.76 | 35% · 35% · 30% | Close call, Rizespor won |
| Başakşehir 0–0 Adana Demirspor | 0.77–0.76 | 32% · 36% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Samsunspor 1–0 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.72–0.27 | 74% · 21% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Ankaragücü 0–1 Trabzonspor | 0.77–0.94 | 28% · 34% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Kayserispor 1–3 Sivasspor | 1.55–2.17 | 27% · 21% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
| İstanbulspor 1–5 Fenerbahçe | 0.76–3.12 | 6% · 11% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Galatasaray 3–0 Konyaspor | 2.62–0.55 | 82% · 13% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.