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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 24.3 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor 1–0 İstanbulspor | 1.23–0.25 | 62% · 30% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
| Fatih Karagümrük 0–3 Gaziantep FK | 1.19–1.79 | 25% · 23% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
| Trabzonspor 1–1 Başakşehir | 1.25–0.88 | 45% · 29% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Konyaspor 2–0 Kayserispor | 2.21–1.06 | 63% · 19% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Adana Demirspor 2–1 Antalyaspor | 1.56–1.91 | 32% · 22% · 46% | Close call, Adana Demirspor won |
| Fenerbahçe 0–0 Galatasaray | 0.32–0.42 | 19% · 54% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kasımpaşa 2–2 Rizespor | 1.75–1.61 | 42% · 23% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alanyaspor 3–1 Samsunspor | 2.11–0.98 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Hatayspor 1–2 Beşiktaş | 0.58–1.30 | 17% · 29% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Pendikspor 1–1 Ankaragücü | 1.49–0.42 | 64% · 26% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Pendikspor had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.