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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 28.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa 3–0 Hatayspor | 1.13–1.09 | 37% · 29% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Başakşehir | 0.95–1.66 | 22% · 24% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Başakşehir had 54% |
| Alanyaspor 2–1 Rizespor | 2.31–1.31 | 60% · 19% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Pendikspor 4–0 Beşiktaş | 1.18–1.50 | 30% · 26% · 45% | Close call, Pendikspor won |
| Adana Demirspor 1–1 Ankaragücü | 1.55–1.31 | 43% · 25% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sivasspor 2–2 Gaziantep FK | 1.95–2.31 | 33% · 20% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fenerbahçe 1–1 Samsunspor | 2.77–0.27 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Fenerbahçe had 89% |
| Konyaspor 1–1 Antalyaspor | 0.54–1.24 | 16% · 30% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Antalyaspor had 54% |
| Trabzonspor 1–5 Galatasaray | 1.29–1.25 | 38% · 27% · 36% | Close call, Galatasaray won |
| Kayserispor 0–1 İstanbulspor | 0.58–2.33 | 8% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for İstanbulspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.