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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 22.4 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor 1–1 Alanyaspor | 0.11–2.14 | 1% · 13% · 85% | Draw against the xG: Alanyaspor had 85% |
| Pendikspor 3–2 Kasımpaşa | 1.54–0.49 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Pendikspor |
| Beşiktaş 0–0 Adana Demirspor | 1.37–0.23 | 67% · 27% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Beşiktaş had 67% |
| Ankaragücü 2–0 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.86–0.44 | 72% · 20% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Ankaragücü |
| Gaziantep FK 1–1 Konyaspor | 0.72–0.59 | 34% · 40% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Başakşehir 0–1 Fenerbahçe | 0.28–3.16 | 2% · 7% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Antalyaspor 2–1 Sivasspor | 2.22–1.26 | 59% · 20% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Samsunspor 2–0 Kayserispor | 0.94–0.57 | 43% · 36% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Galatasaray 3–1 İstanbulspor | 2.34–0.41 | 81% · 14% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Rizespor 1–0 Trabzonspor | 1.24–0.52 | 54% · 30% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.