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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 23.7 xG (1.35 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 0.55–1.48 | 14% · 26% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Fatih Karagümrük had 60% |
| Antalyaspor 2–2 İstanbulspor | 1.57–2.00 | 31% · 22% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hatayspor 1–1 Sivasspor | 0.54–0.23 | 35% · 52% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rizespor 1–3 Fenerbahçe | 0.75–1.79 | 15% · 23% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Alanyaspor 3–3 Adana Demirspor | 1.12–1.81 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Adana Demirspor had 54% |
| Gaziantep FK 1–1 Samsunspor | 0.47–0.97 | 17% · 36% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Pendikspor 0–2 Trabzonspor | 0.59–1.40 | 16% · 28% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Ankaragücü 0–3 Galatasaray | 0.34–2.46 | 4% · 12% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Başakşehir 2–3 Kayserispor | 2.50–1.35 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Won against the xG: Kayserispor |
| Beşiktaş 2–0 Konyaspor | 1.66–0.16 | 76% · 21% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.