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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 25.5 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor 3–0 Rizespor | 1.54–0.76 | 56% · 26% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Kayserispor 3–2 Ankaragücü | 0.78–1.89 | 15% · 22% · 64% | Won against the xG: Kayserispor |
| Gaziantep FK 0–2 Başakşehir | 0.77–0.43 | 40% · 41% · 19% | Won against the xG: Başakşehir |
| Konyaspor 2–0 Hatayspor | 1.59–0.27 | 71% · 23% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Fenerbahçe 2–1 Kasımpaşa | 3.44–0.81 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Sivasspor 4–1 Pendikspor | 1.51–1.04 | 48% · 26% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
| Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Alanyaspor | 1.01–1.71 | 22% · 24% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Alanyaspor had 54% |
| Trabzonspor 1–0 Adana Demirspor | 1.09–0.85 | 41% · 31% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| İstanbulspor 0–2 Beşiktaş | 0.76–0.81 | 31% · 36% · 34% | Close call, Beşiktaş won |
| Galatasaray 2–1 Antalyaspor | 3.39–1.01 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.