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10 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 24.3 xG (0.70 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa 0–0 Sivasspor | 1.04–0.60 | 46% · 34% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ankaragücü 1–1 İstanbulspor | 0.85–0.86 | 33% · 34% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rizespor 3–0 Kayserispor | 2.01–1.54 | 49% · 22% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Hatayspor 0–2 Fenerbahçe | 0.58–2.11 | 9% · 18% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Başakşehir 1–0 Samsunspor | 0.83–0.74 | 35% · 36% · 30% | Close call, Başakşehir won |
| Pendikspor 0–2 Konyaspor | 1.25–1.91 | 25% · 22% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Beşiktaş 0–1 Galatasaray | 0.32–0.57 | 17% · 49% · 34% | Close call, Galatasaray won |
| Adana Demirspor 1–0 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.69–0.84 | 58% · 24% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Adana Demirspor |
| Antalyaspor 1–0 Gaziantep FK | 1.94–0.48 | 72% · 19% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Alanyaspor 3–1 Trabzonspor | 2.66–1.44 | 64% · 17% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.