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10 of 10 matches with xG: 37 goals from 23.3 xG (1.59 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray 6–2 Rizespor | 2.29–0.51 | 78% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Sivasspor 1–2 Alanyaspor | 0.81–0.89 | 31% · 34% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Konyaspor 2–2 Adana Demirspor | 1.76–0.39 | 71% · 21% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Konyaspor had 71% |
| Trabzonspor 5–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 3.07–0.28 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Başakşehir 1–0 Antalyaspor | 0.83–0.25 | 48% · 41% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Kayserispor 1–1 Hatayspor | 1.75–0.27 | 75% · 20% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Kayserispor had 75% |
| İstanbulspor 1–2 Kasımpaşa | 0.57–2.05 | 9% · 19% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Samsunspor 2–1 Ankaragücü | 1.72–0.14 | 78% · 20% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Fenerbahçe 4–1 Pendikspor | 2.69–0.57 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Gaziantep FK 2–0 Beşiktaş | 1.11–1.34 | 31% · 27% · 42% | Close call, Gaziantep FK won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.