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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 24.9 xG (1.36 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pendikspor 1–0 İstanbulspor | 1.66–0.21 | 74% · 21% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Pendikspor |
| Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Konyaspor | 0.88–0.79 | 35% · 34% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alanyaspor 1–0 Kayserispor | 1.21–1.13 | 38% · 28% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Ankaragücü 2–1 Başakşehir | 1.61–1.70 | 37% · 23% · 40% | Close call, Ankaragücü won |
| Beşiktaş 1–2 Antalyaspor | 1.46–1.53 | 36% · 24% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Adana Demirspor 4–1 Sivasspor | 0.96–0.28 | 52% · 37% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Adana Demirspor |
| Rizespor 3–1 Gaziantep FK | 2.21–1.16 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Kasımpaşa 3–4 Galatasaray | 2.03–2.53 | 32% · 19% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Hatayspor 3–0 Samsunspor | 1.08–0.44 | 51% · 34% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Hatayspor |
| Trabzonspor 2–3 Fenerbahçe | 1.17–0.91 | 42% · 30% · 28% | Close call, Fenerbahçe won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.