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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 28.1 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor 0–4 Rizespor | 0.26–3.00 | 2% · 7% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Galatasaray 1–0 Hatayspor | 1.64–0.57 | 64% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Gaziantep FK 0–3 Alanyaspor | 1.30–2.92 | 14% · 15% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Antalyaspor 1–1 Ankaragücü | 0.52–0.68 | 24% · 42% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sivasspor 1–0 Fatih Karagümrük | 3.17–1.53 | 70% · 15% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
| Kayserispor 0–2 Kasımpaşa | 0.76–1.48 | 19% · 26% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Fenerbahçe 4–2 Adana Demirspor | 3.01–1.95 | 60% · 17% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Konyaspor 1–3 Trabzonspor | 1.12–1.25 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Samsunspor 0–0 Pendikspor | 0.27–0.74 | 12% · 44% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Başakşehir 1–1 Beşiktaş | 0.82–1.12 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.