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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 29.1 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor 0–1 Sivasspor | 1.33–1.25 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Close call, Sivasspor won |
| Kasımpaşa 0–2 Konyaspor | 0.76–1.86 | 15% · 22% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Ankaragücü 3–1 Gaziantep FK | 1.67–0.84 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Ankaragücü |
| Adana Demirspor 0–0 Kayserispor | 1.23–0.58 | 52% · 30% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Adana Demirspor had 52% |
| Beşiktaş 1–1 Samsunspor | 0.98–1.01 | 34% · 31% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Pendikspor 2–3 Başakşehir | 1.69–2.04 | 32% · 21% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Hatayspor 0–3 İstanbulspor | 1.22–2.88 | 13% · 15% · 72% | Win in line with xG for İstanbulspor |
| Rizespor 3–0 Antalyaspor | 2.14–1.18 | 59% · 20% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Fatih Karagümrük 1–2 Fenerbahçe | 0.86–2.37 | 12% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Alanyaspor 0–4 Galatasaray | 0.70–2.49 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.