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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 23.4 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor 2–0 Gaziantep FK | 1.44–0.70 | 55% · 27% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Kasımpaşa 1–1 Pendikspor | 1.57–1.60 | 38% · 24% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Trabzonspor 2–3 Rizespor | 1.98–1.62 | 46% · 22% · 32% | Close call, Rizespor won |
| Sivasspor 1–1 Antalyaspor | 0.84–0.62 | 38% · 37% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kayserispor 2–1 Samsunspor | 1.07–1.36 | 29% · 27% · 43% | Close call, Kayserispor won |
| Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Ankaragücü | 0.58–0.65 | 27% · 41% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alanyaspor 0–0 Hatayspor | 1.58–0.16 | 74% · 22% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Alanyaspor had 74% |
| İstanbulspor 0–1 Galatasaray | 0.36–1.43 | 9% · 26% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Adana Demirspor 4–2 Beşiktaş | 1.79–1.77 | 39% · 22% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Adana Demirspor |
| Fenerbahçe 4–0 Başakşehir | 2.12–0.16 | 84% · 14% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.