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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 22.4 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa 1–5 Trabzonspor | 1.72–1.56 | 42% · 23% · 35% | Close call, Trabzonspor won |
| Rizespor 1–0 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.75–0.68 | 63% · 23% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Pendikspor 1–1 Alanyaspor | 0.93–1.16 | 29% · 30% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Başakşehir 0–1 Konyaspor | 0.53–0.76 | 23% · 40% · 37% | Close call, Konyaspor won |
| Gaziantep FK 0–3 Galatasaray | 0.63–2.15 | 10% · 18% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Antalyaspor 1–1 Kayserispor | 1.09–0.24 | 58% · 34% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Antalyaspor had 58% |
| Beşiktaş 2–0 Sivasspor | 1.57–0.20 | 73% · 23% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Hatayspor 3–3 Adana Demirspor | 1.40–1.71 | 32% · 24% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ankaragücü 0–1 Fenerbahçe | 0.79–1.49 | 20% · 26% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Samsunspor 2–1 İstanbulspor | 1.54–0.51 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.