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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 30.3 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor 2–0 Gaziantep FK | 2.37–1.45 | 58% · 19% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Kayserispor |
| Konyaspor 1–2 Rizespor | 1.04–2.00 | 19% · 21% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Galatasaray 4–2 Samsunspor | 1.17–1.22 | 35% · 28% · 37% | Close call, Galatasaray won |
| Adana Demirspor 3–0 Pendikspor | 2.54–1.17 | 67% · 17% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Adana Demirspor |
| İstanbulspor 0–2 Başakşehir | 0.14–3.17 | 1% · 5% · 94% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Fenerbahçe 3–2 Antalyaspor | 1.83–1.43 | 47% · 23% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Alanyaspor 3–3 Kasımpaşa | 1.38–1.90 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Trabzonspor 3–0 Beşiktaş | 1.57–0.40 | 67% · 24% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Fatih Karagümrük 0–0 Hatayspor | 0.12–2.49 | 1% · 10% · 89% | Draw against the xG: Hatayspor had 89% |
| Sivasspor 1–3 Ankaragücü | 1.38–1.50 | 35% · 25% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Ankaragücü |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.