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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 22.2 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK 2–0 İstanbulspor | 1.43–1.12 | 44% · 26% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
| Pendikspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.84–1.67 | 42% · 22% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rizespor 1–1 Sivasspor | 1.02–0.78 | 40% · 33% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Başakşehir 1–2 Galatasaray | 0.35–2.16 | 5% · 16% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Antalyaspor 2–0 Samsunspor | 0.72–0.68 | 32% · 38% · 30% | Close call, Antalyaspor won |
| Beşiktaş 2–1 Kayserispor | 2.42–0.79 | 73% · 16% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Ankaragücü 1–1 Konyaspor | 1.28–0.31 | 62% · 29% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Ankaragücü had 62% |
| Kasımpaşa 2–1 Adana Demirspor | 1.46–1.53 | 36% · 24% · 39% | Close call, Kasımpaşa won |
| Alanyaspor 0–1 Fenerbahçe | 0.08–1.43 | 2% · 25% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Hatayspor 3–2 Trabzonspor | 0.68–0.43 | 36% · 43% · 20% | Close call, Hatayspor won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.