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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 21.0 xG (1.33 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor 1–2 Gaziantep FK | 1.34–0.15 | 69% · 27% · 4% | Won against the xG: Gaziantep FK |
| Sivasspor 0–0 Hatayspor | 1.07–0.18 | 59% · 34% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Sivasspor had 59% |
| İstanbulspor 1–2 Antalyaspor | 0.48–1.46 | 12% · 26% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Trabzonspor 2–1 Pendikspor | 0.88–0.75 | 36% · 35% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Galatasaray 2–1 Ankaragücü | 3.50–0.40 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Fatih Karagümrük 2–3 Kasımpaşa | 1.30–0.22 | 65% · 29% · 6% | Won against the xG: Kasımpaşa |
| Fenerbahçe 5–0 Rizespor | 3.77–0.25 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Adana Demirspor 4–0 Alanyaspor | 2.39–0.39 | 82% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Adana Demirspor |
| Konyaspor 0–2 Beşiktaş | 0.24–0.69 | 12% · 46% · 42% | Close call, Beşiktaş won |
| Kayserispor 0–0 Başakşehir | 1.18–0.36 | 57% · 32% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Kayserispor had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.